{"id":662,"date":"2015-05-30T10:34:16","date_gmt":"2015-05-30T08:34:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/urvaken.wordpress.com\/?p=662"},"modified":"2015-05-30T10:34:16","modified_gmt":"2015-05-30T08:34:16","slug":"globala-risker","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/2015\/05\/30\/globala-risker\/","title":{"rendered":"Globala risker"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>World Economic Forum har en del intressant l\u00e4sning. N\u00e5got jag finner extra intressant ur mitt perspektiv \u00e4r en rapport som heter <a href=\"http:\/\/www3.weforum.org\/docs\/WEF_GlobalRisks_Report_2014.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Global Risks 2014<\/a> och \u00e4r baserad p\u00e5 hur f\u00f6retag bed\u00f6mer risker. Rapporten delar upp risker i fem kategorier:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ekonomiska<\/li>\n<li>Geopolitiska<\/li>\n<li>Milj\u00f6<\/li>\n<li>Sociala<\/li>\n<li>Teknologiska<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Nedan \u00e4r en sammanst\u00e4llning av alla identifierade risker som kan t\u00e4nkas ha en geografisk spridning st\u00f6rre ett enskilt land.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-663\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png?resize=676%2C654\" alt=\"wef_2014_risks\" width=\"676\" height=\"654\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png?w=815&amp;ssl=1 815w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png?resize=300%2C290&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png?resize=768%2C743&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 676px) 100vw, 676px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nI den \u00f6versta h\u00f6gra delen av grafen har vi de risker som \u00e4r troligast och har st\u00f6rst p\u00e5verkan. L\u00e4ngst ner i den v\u00e4nstra delen har vi de som \u00e4r minst troliga och med minst p\u00e5verkan.<br \/>\nN\u00e4r man b\u00f6rjar titta p\u00e5 ovan graf ser man ganska snart att mycket h\u00e4nger ihop. En finansiell kris leder till exempel till arbetsl\u00f6shet, klimatf\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar kan leda till vattenbrist. Detta \u00e4r n\u00e5got som man i rapporten tagit fasta p\u00e5 och har ocks\u00e5 med en graf f\u00f6r hur olika risker h\u00e4nger ihop.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2017_risks_interconnect.png\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-667\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2017_risks_interconnect.png?resize=676%2C512\" alt=\"wef_2017_risks_interconnect\" width=\"676\" height=\"512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2017_risks_interconnect.png?w=1123&amp;ssl=1 1123w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2017_risks_interconnect.png?resize=300%2C227&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2017_risks_interconnect.png?resize=1024%2C776&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2017_risks_interconnect.png?resize=768%2C582&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 676px) 100vw, 676px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nOm man ska utg\u00e5 fr\u00e5n denna rapport finns det tv\u00e5 risker som \u00e4r tydliga. Den f\u00f6rsta \u00e4r en ekonomisk kris och den andra \u00e4r klimatf\u00f6r\u00e4ndringarna. Nu saknas det \u00e5tminstone en faktor i rapporten som jag personligen anser vara v\u00e4ldigt relevant. Det saknas ett tidsperspektiv. Klimatf\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar kan ske under l\u00e5ng tid utan att det leder till en global kris, men det kan ocks\u00e5 ske snabbt i form av extremt v\u00e4der. Lika s\u00e5 kan en ekonomisk kris ske i morgon eller om tio \u00e5r. Vi ska ocks\u00e5 komma ih\u00e5g att underlaget till rapporten togs fram under 2013-2014 s\u00e5 jag misst\u00e4nker att Ukraina-kriget och Rysslands aggressiva beteende inte var en faktor som kommit med.<br \/>\nOavsett \u00e4r detta intressant l\u00e4sning och det g\u00e5r att anv\u00e4nda som underlag f\u00f6r framtida diskussioner och tanke\u00f6vningar. Har man lite tid \u00f6ver kan det vara intressant att sj\u00e4lv g\u00f6ra en liknande graf utifr\u00e5n sina egna f\u00f6ruts\u00e4ttningar och sin egen omv\u00e4rldsanalys.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>World Economic Forum har en del intressant l\u00e4sning. N\u00e5got jag finner extra intressant ur mitt perspektiv \u00e4r en rapport som heter Global Risks 2014 och \u00e4r baserad p\u00e5 hur f\u00f6retag bed\u00f6mer risker. Rapporten delar upp risker i fem kategorier: Ekonomiska&#8230; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/2015\/05\/30\/globala-risker\/\">Continue Reading &rarr;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,17,20],"tags":[697,698,977,981],"class_list":["post-662","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-framtid","category-preppning","category-shtf","tag-riskanalys","tag-risker","tag-wef","tag-world-economic-forum"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=662"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=662"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=662"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=662"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}