{"id":4793,"date":"2020-07-29T08:08:00","date_gmt":"2020-07-29T06:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/urvaken.com\/?p=4793"},"modified":"2020-07-29T08:08:00","modified_gmt":"2020-07-29T06:08:00","slug":"nar-skogen-forsvinner-prepperse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/2020\/07\/29\/nar-skogen-forsvinner-prepperse\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u00e4r skogen f\u00f6rsvinner #prepperSE"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sk\u00f6vling av v\u00e4rldens skogar i kombination med den st\u00e4ndigt \u00f6kande folkm\u00e4ngden kommer att leda till v\u00e5r civilisations kollaps inom ett par \u00e5rtionden. Det \u00e4r vad en nyligen publicerad rapport i Nature<\/a> f\u00f6rutser, baserat p\u00e5 statistisk analys.\u00a0Jag ska helt \u00e4rligt erk\u00e4nna att jag inte \u00e4r kvalificerad nog att f\u00f6rst\u00e5 detaljerna i modellen som anv\u00e4nts s\u00e5 jag f\u00f6rlitar mig p\u00e5 att de som kvalitetsgranskat artikeln gjort sitt jobb.
\nF\u00f6ruts\u00e4gelser om jordens underg\u00e5ng och\/eller civilisationens kollaps \u00e4r inget nytt, inte heller i vetenskapliga sammanhang . Dock l\u00e4gger jag enormt mycket st\u00f6rre vikt vid en vetenskaplig artikel \u00e4n en sj\u00e4lvutn\u00e4mnd Nostradamus<\/a> p\u00e5 Youtube.
\nJust denna artikel p\u00e5st\u00e5r inte<\/em> att jorden kommer g\u00e5 under. Den f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r en kollaps av v\u00e5r civilisation. Detta betyder inte heller att m\u00e4nskligheten kommer g\u00e5 under och att alla m\u00e4nniskor d\u00f6r ut. Vad som h\u00e4vdas \u00e4r (min fetstil):
\n“Adopting a combined deterministic and stochastic model we conclude from a statistical point of view that the probability that our civilisation survives itself is less than 10% in the most optimistic scenario<\/strong>. Calculations show that, maintaining the actual rate of population growth and resource consumption, in particular forest consumption, we have a few decades left before an irreversible collapse of our civilisation<\/strong> (see Fig.\u00a05<\/a>). Making the situation even worse, we stress once again that it is unrealistic to think that the decline of the population in a situation of strong environmental degradation would be a non-chaotic and well-ordered decline. This consideration leads to an even shorter remaining time<\/strong>.<\/em>”
\nIntressant att notera \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 att f\u00f6rfattarna l\u00e4mnar en brasklapp f\u00f6r att det kan g\u00e5 \u00e4nnu snabbare.
\nNu ska detta inte tolkas som att framtiden \u00e4r ristad i sten. Modellen anv\u00e4nder nuvarande trender och extrapolerar dessa \u00f6ver tid. Den tar allts\u00e5 inte h\u00e4nsyn till ett f\u00f6r\u00e4ndrat beteende. Givet att vi forts\u00e4tter p\u00e5 inslagen bana, ja d\u00e5 kommer ett SHTF att intr\u00e4ffa inom ett par \u00e5rtionden. Men det finns fortfarande utrymme f\u00f6r att \u00e4ndra m\u00e4nsklighetens beteende och f\u00f6rhindra detta, precis som med s\u00e5 mycket annat.
\nFaktum \u00e4r att vi redan b\u00f6rjat v\u00e4nda trenden. Mindre skog avverkas idag \u00e4n f\u00f6r 30 \u00e5r sedan och \u00e5terplantering av skog sker i allt h\u00f6gre grad. \u00c4nd\u00e5 visar modellen att f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringen inte sker i snabb nog takt. Dessutom s\u00e5 forts\u00e4tter vi som art att f\u00f6r\u00f6ka oss allt snabbare. Och skogen \u00e4r bara en av m\u00e5nga \u00e4ndliga resurser vi hela tiden blir fler att dela p\u00e5.
\nN\u00e5gonstans, n\u00e5gon g\u00e5ng, kommer detta inte att h\u00e5lla l\u00e4ngre. F\u00f6rr eller senare kommer vi hamna i en situation d\u00e4r vi inte l\u00e4ngre kan uppfinna oss ur de problem vi skapar. Fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r som vanligt hur l\u00e4nge det dr\u00f6jer innan vi n\u00e5r den punkten.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sk\u00f6vling av v\u00e4rldens skogar i kombination med den st\u00e4ndigt \u00f6kande folkm\u00e4ngden kommer att leda till v\u00e5r civilisations kollaps inom ett par \u00e5rtionden. Det \u00e4r vad en nyligen publicerad rapport i Nature f\u00f6rutser, baserat p\u00e5 statistisk analys.\u00a0Jag ska helt \u00e4rligt erk\u00e4nna… Continue Reading →<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4794,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,17,20],"tags":[79,154,419,548,758,761,964],"class_list":["post-4793","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-framtid","category-preppning","category-shtf","tag-avverkning","tag-civilisation","tag-kollaps","tag-nature","tag-skog","tag-skogsskovling","tag-vetenskap"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/deforestation_1595997966.jpg?fit=1280%2C853&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4793","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4793"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4793\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4794"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4793"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4793"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4793"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}