{"id":1203,"date":"2016-01-03T13:51:58","date_gmt":"2016-01-03T11:51:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/urvaken.wordpress.com\/?p=1203"},"modified":"2016-01-03T13:51:58","modified_gmt":"2016-01-03T11:51:58","slug":"world-economic-forum-global-risks-2015-prepperse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/2016\/01\/03\/world-economic-forum-global-risks-2015-prepperse\/","title":{"rendered":"World Economic Forum &#8211; Global Risks 2015 #prepperSE"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>World Economic Forum har sl\u00e4ppt sin nya rapport <a href=\"http:\/\/www3.weforum.org\/docs\/WEF_Global_Risks_2015_Report15.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Global Risks 2015<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/urvaken.wordpress.com\/2015\/05\/30\/globala-risker\/\">Tidigare<\/a> har jag skrivit om <a href=\"http:\/\/www3.weforum.org\/docs\/WEF_GlobalRisks_Report_2014.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Global Risks 2014<\/a>, s\u00e5 jag t\u00e4nkte det kan vara intressant att se f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringarna mellan rapporterna och vad som h\u00e4nt p\u00e5 ett \u00e5r. Dock t\u00e4nker jag enbart fokusera p\u00e5 de stora trenderna och penseldragen, rapporten inneh\u00e5ller v\u00e4ldigt mycket mer information som ni f\u00e5r l\u00e4sa sj\u00e4lva.<br \/>\nOm vi b\u00f6rjar med <em>sannolikheten<\/em> att en viss kris ska uppst\u00e5 \u00e4r rankingen som f\u00f6ljer.<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>2014<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2015<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Income disparity<\/td>\n<td>Interstate conflict with regional consequences<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Extreme weather events<\/td>\n<td>Extreme weather events<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Unemployment and underemployment<\/td>\n<td>Failure of national governance<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Climate change<\/td>\n<td>State collapse or crisis<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Cyber attacks<\/td>\n<td>High structural unemployment or underemployment<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>S\u00e5 har vi vilka kriser som skulle ha st\u00f6rst <em>p\u00e5verkan<\/em>.<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>2014<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2015<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Fiscal crises<\/td>\n<td>Water crises<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Climate change<\/td>\n<td>Rapid and massive spread of infectious diseases<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Water crises<\/td>\n<td>Weapons of mass destruction<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Unemployment and underemployment<\/td>\n<td>Interstate conflict with regional consequences<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Critical information infrastructure breakdown<\/td>\n<td>Failure of climate-change adaptation<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Generellt skulle jag p\u00e5st\u00e5 att fokus har flyttats n\u00e5got fr\u00e5n klimatfr\u00e5gan till konflikter mellan l\u00e4nder. Detta \u00e4r kanske inte s\u00e5 konstigt med tanke p\u00e5 Ukraina och Syrien. De ekonomiska fr\u00e5gorna har sjunkit fr\u00e5n 2014 d\u00e5 de identifierades som stora hot. N\u00e5got som jag personligen ser som mycket orov\u00e4ckande \u00e4r att kombinationen att WEF ser konflikter mellan l\u00e4nder med regional p\u00e5verkan som h\u00f6gst troligt samt att massf\u00f6rst\u00f6relsevapen ligger h\u00f6gt p\u00e5 listan \u00f6ver p\u00e5verkan.<br \/>\nTittar man p\u00e5 de historiska rapporterna (som finns mellan 2007-2015) ser man att det aldrig tidigare varit s\u00e5 troligt som nu med konflikter mellan l\u00e4nder. Bara en g\u00e5ng, det 2008, n\u00e4mn konflikter som ett hot. D\u00e5 var det oroligheter i mellan \u00f6stern. Lika s\u00e5 har aldrig massf\u00f6rst\u00f6relsevapen tidigare identifierats.<br \/>\nSom tidigare rapporter har ska man \u00e4ven identifierat hur olika risker kan f\u00e5 kaskadeffekter och p\u00e5verka andra riskfaktorer.<br \/>\nGott nytt \u00e5r och god forts\u00e4ttning p\u00e5 2016.<br \/>\n<div id=\"attachment_1204\" style=\"width: 291px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1204\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1204\" class=\"wp-image-1204 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015.png?resize=281%2C300\" alt=\"wef_global_risks_2015\" width=\"281\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015.png?w=801&amp;ssl=1 801w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015.png?resize=281%2C300&amp;ssl=1 281w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015.png?resize=768%2C821&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 281px) 100vw, 281px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1204\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Globala risker 2015<\/p><\/div><br \/>\n<div id=\"attachment_663\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-663\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-663\" class=\"wp-image-663 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png?resize=300%2C290\" alt=\"wef_2014_risks\" width=\"300\" height=\"290\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png?w=815&amp;ssl=1 815w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png?resize=300%2C290&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/wef_2014_risks.png?resize=768%2C743&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-663\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Globala risker 2014<\/p><\/div><br \/>\n<div id=\"attachment_1205\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015-2.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-1205\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1205\" class=\"wp-image-1205 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.lan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015-2.png?resize=300%2C300\" alt=\"wef_global_risks_2015-2\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015-2.png?w=818&amp;ssl=1 818w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015-2.png?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015-2.png?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/urvaken.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/wef_global_risks_2015-2.png?resize=768%2C766&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1205\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Global Risks 2015 Interconnections Map<\/p><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>World Economic Forum har sl\u00e4ppt sin nya rapport Global Risks 2015. Tidigare har jag skrivit om Global Risks 2014, s\u00e5 jag t\u00e4nkte det kan vara intressant att se f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringarna mellan rapporterna och vad som h\u00e4nt p\u00e5 ett \u00e5r. Dock t\u00e4nker&#8230; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/2016\/01\/03\/world-economic-forum-global-risks-2015-prepperse\/\">Continue Reading &rarr;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[29,30,310,422,651,697,698,981],"class_list":["post-1203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-shtf","tag-29","tag-30","tag-global-threats","tag-konflikter","tag-prepping","tag-riskanalys","tag-risker","tag-world-economic-forum"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1203"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1203\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/urvaken.se\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}